태국 바트화 변동이 미얀마 수출입에 미치는 영향분석

Abstract

This paper is discussing the effects of the value changes of Thai Baht on Myanmar's export and import. Myanmar, the country that have abundant natural resource but due to lack of manpower of technology economics is still at the development take-off level. Therefore, Myanmar's economy is highly depend on foreign trade for development growth and economics can be depression or booming in response to the change in exchange rates. The reason for chossing Thai exchange rate is because Thailand is one of Myanmar's main trading natoins along with China, India, Singapore etc. The data used in this paper is from the 1st quarter in 1994 to the 2nd quarter in 2015 and the object of this paper is look into the relation between Thai Baht(exchange rate) and Myanmar's export and import by using VAR(Vector Autoregressive) model.