가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songjeong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songjeong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songjeong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. But Korea is estimated using a Individual Travel Cost Model. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. And a dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples. The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won.