한·중·일 수산물 부문에 있어 한국의 경쟁력 수준과 수출전략품목 분석에 관한 연구

Abstract

본 논문은 중국, 그리고 일본과의 FTA체결에 대비하여 효과적인 대응방안과 협상 전략을 수립하기 위해 중국과 일본을 대상으로 우리나라 수산물 시장에서 이들 국가 및 수입 품목과의 경쟁력 수준을 파악하는데 목적이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서 연구대상으로 하는 국가는 중국과 일본이며 시계열범위는 2001~2006년까지로 하였다. 분석에 사용되는 자료는 수산물수출입통계 연보를 이용한 각국별 수출입액(HS코드 10자리 기준, $)과 수출입자료, 그리고 우리나라의 실행관세 등을 사용하였다. 이를 통해 수출경쟁력과 시장점유율 matrix를 이용하여 국가간, 품목간 경쟁력 수준을 9가지로 유형화하고 이를 통해 연도별 3개국의 경쟁위치 및 대응분석을 이용한 동태적 경쟁위치를 도출한다. 마지막으로 이러한 연구결과를 바탕으로 한ㆍ중ㆍ일 FTA 체결에 대비한 대응방안을 모색하고자 한다.

These days global economic integration has become one of the essential elements of international competition. Particularly since the late 1990s, many countries have developed a bilateral FTA with their important trade partners rapidly. Like this conditions of New Regionalism are required Korea-China-Japan FTA to get rid of such a disadvantage. FTA is expected to exert great effect such as possibility to avoid laying stress on part item according to the agreement conclusion target country in Korean marine products market. Specially, weight that korean and marine products market of China and Japan occupy in national economic of every country differs, but is trend that competitive relation is deepened every year in export side as well as marine products production side. This study is within these trend, to grasp competitive position with these country and income item in Korean marine products market to China and Japan to establish effective confrontation plan and negotiation strategy for FTA conclusion with China and Japan hereafter. This study examines the relative competitive position of korean marine products market over period of 2001 to 2005 and selects strategic exported goods from its position provide against concluding FTA agreement with China and Japan. The portfolio approach is used to develope competitiveness-market share matrix. The position of each export countries on the competitiveness-market share matrix will be in one of nine cells, with differing implications for their role in korean marine products market. Based the competitiveness-market share matrix, each export countries are divided into first cell type, third cell type and ninth cell type and the items of ninth cell type are chosen as strategic exportable goods. The results of this study are summarized as follows: First, in the case of each country change aspect, China is trending to decrease quantity but shows number of item that increase gradually with high share still, and look trend that increase third cell type item too gradually, and in case of first cell type item is that competitive position is high more relatively than the Korea. In the case of Japan, ninth cell type item is falling gradually, and share does not show big change generally in case of first cell type item. Second, in the case of strategic exportable goods that analyze using domestic competitive position cell type and MCA with competitive position in domestic marine products market and export market, was appear by codfish(frozen), cuttle fish(frozen) etc. in case with China, and by mackerel(frozen), other sea bream(frozen), laver(dry), bathing(dry) etc. in case with Japan. And analyzed goods that have all export competitive advantages in both countries are roes of alaska pollack(frozen), other roes of fish(except frozen roes of alaska pollack), squid(frozen) etc.